← 0720(日)永和豬豬玩具_下午1點半_台北101夏季聯賽
Wind Crux LorraineTier 2
at 0720(日)永和豬豬玩具_下午1點半_台北101夏季聯賽
decks
1
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-4-0
overall winrate
20.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.4%
avg ELO -1.5 per match
expected value
41.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1389
· median 1389
· range 1389–1389
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
807
Q1 1204
Q3 1435
1495
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 20.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 46.3% | -3.5 |
| Water Fractal | 15.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.8% | +2.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
